Antigua and Barbuda, including the Caribbean is experiencing mixed drought conditions as the 2025 dry season begins, with notable variations in rainfall and water availability across the region, according to the Caribbean Drought Bulletin.
The bulletin highlights a patchwork of weather patterns across the region. Over the three-month period from September to November 2024, conditions ranged from moderately dry in Trinidad and Aruba to extremely dry in parts of northern Guyana and northwestern Suriname.
In contrast, areas such as Barbados and Martinique recorded normal to moderately wet conditions, while Jamaica’s south was very wet.
The eastern Caribbean saw predominantly normal to above-normal rainfall in November.
However, Dominica faced significant challenges, experiencing conditions ranging from normal to extremely dry. Similarly, northwestern Suriname grappled with severe drought, exacerbating water scarcity for local communities.
Forecasts for the first quarter of 2025 indicate normal to above-normal rainfall for the eastern Caribbean, but the northwest, including Cuba and the northern Bahamas, could see below-normal precipitation.
Short-term drought conditions may affect small rivers, streams, and ponds in these areas by March.
Meanwhile, southwestern Belize, Dominica, and Antigua and Barbuda are advised to monitor water resources closely.
Long-term drought risks are also flagged, particularly for southern Puerto Rico and the northern Bahamas, where large rivers, reservoirs, and groundwater supplies could be impacted by May.
In Suriname, villages are reportedly struggling with hunger and limited access to clean water due to dwindling river levels. The situation underscores the broader challenges posed by climate variability across the region.
The Caribbean Drought and Precipitation Monitoring Network (CDPMN) emphasizes the importance of vigilance. “We advise all stakeholders to keep monitoring their environment for signs of drought and look out for our monthly updates,” said a spokesperson for the network.
The CDPMN, managed by the Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology, continues to provide regional and national-level monitoring to address drought and its socio-economic impacts.
For more information, visit the Caribbean Drought Monitor online.
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