LETTER: The UPP will almost certainly lose these 3 seats in the next general election

Dear Editor,

Having named all their candidates, I think this is a good time to begin discussing the viability of the United Progressive Party in the next general election. Note that only one candidate is yet to be announced for the ABLP in St. Mary’s North.

Here’s my take: the UPP will lose at least three seats it currently holds. Bowen is gone thanks to Kiz Johnson, Richard Lewis is gone thanks to Michael Joseph, and Dalso/Watts are gone thanks to Michael Freeland. Simon will hold on to St. Mary’s South, and Pringle will retain All Saints East and St. Luke. Trevor Walker will retain Barbuda.

I cannot say who will win All Saints West, with Harold now in the race against incumbent Anthony Smith. I see the ABLP retaining most, if not all, of its seats, although Jonathan Joseph will give Sir Molwyn’s replacement a run for his or her money.

None of the UPP newcomers or repeat candidates will be successful. I expect the ABLP to retain St. Paul, where they faced a strong challenge from Cleon in the last election, and if Lovell couldn’t win City East, neither can Pearl.

My analysis is far from professional, but that’s how I see it, and I wonder who else sees it that way. There are two factors that may throw off my list: first, whether Gaston can fix the water problem sufficiently and on time, and second, whether the UPP will have a new—and dare I say better—leader by the next general election.

Let’s not forget the UPP came very, very close to victory in the last election, but a lot has changed since then. A lot.

Kitchen Cabinet

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