Tropical Disturbance_AL91 is now likely to become a Depression or Storm.
Given its location & potential track, a tropical cyclone alert is in effect.
Residents are urged to monitor this system closely & be prepared to implement their hurricane plans, if called upon to do so.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 28 2022
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad and elongated area of low pressure is located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased somewhat since yesterday,
it currently lacks organization.
Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form later this week while moving toward the west and then west-northwest at around 10 mph, toward the waters east of the Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.
A small low pressure system located about 600 miles east of Bermuda continues to produce occasional, disorganized shower activity. Strong upper-level winds and dry air are expected to limit significant development of this system while it meanders over the central Atlantic during the next few days, and the low is likely to dissipate by midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.
Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A trough of low pressure could develop over the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the middle part of this week. Environmental conditions could support some slow development of the system
thereafter while it moves generally west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and toward the Yucatan Peninsula of
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa Monday or Monday night. Some gradual development of the system is possible after that time while it moves generally westward across
the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
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